Social media predicts ‘Wolf of Wall Street’ will nab Best Picture Oscar

An analysis by General Sentiment found that ‘Wolf’ won’t take the acting awards, though.


Want to know who’s going to win at Sunday’s Oscars? Don’t we all! Though you’ll just have to wait until the actual ceremony to find out who walk away with the iconic statuettes this year, social media has its predictions. Based on Twitter and Facebook activity, “The Wolf of Wall Street” is poised to win best picture, according to an assessment from digital measurement firm ListenFirst. Meanwhile, social analytics firm General Sentiment released its predictions, which include:

  • Best actor: Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave”)
  • Best actress: Sandra Bullock (“Gravity”)
  • Best supporting actress: Lupita Nyong’o (“12 Years a Slave”)
  • Best supporting actor: Barkhad Abdi (“Captain Phillips”)

And here’s what General Sentiment says about its methodology:

A mention counts both the exact text string and any pronouns that can be attributed to the original topic. The Sentiment Scale is a measure of the tone surrounding a topic. Each mention of a topic is scored as either positive, negative or neutral according to sentiment words such as good, bad, love and hate as well as modifiers such as especially, very and much. The sentiment of all mentions is adjusted daily and applied to an index that ranges from -100 to +100.

But don’t turn in your final Oscar ballots just yet. Offering a similar analysis of social buzz, Farsite Forecast’s predictions differ when it comes to the big night’s major categories:

  • Best picture: “12 Years a Slave”
  • Best director: Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”)
  • Best actor: Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club”)
  • Best actress: Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine”)
  • Best supporting actress: Lupita Nyong’o (“12 Years a Slave”)
  • Best supporting actor: Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club”)

According to Forbes, Farsite scored an impressive five out of six on these same categories for last year’s Academy Awards, only faltering on best director.

PR Daily readers, who do you think will win? (Image via, via, via, via, via, via, via, via & via)

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