Why you should NOT trust gurus

Ever wonder why famous “gurus” are wrong so often? Research explains part of the reason. According to research by University of California psychologist Philip Tetlock, there is an inverse correlation between fame and accuracy. “In general, the more famous an expert is, the less accurate his predictions are,” Dan Gardner of the Ottawa Citizen wrote. In a recent column, Gardner explored this phenomenon of business gurus and their often shoddy predictions. “[The business guru] is supremely confident,” G

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